The Impact of AI Innovations on U.S. Occupations

AI's impact has traditionally been assessed in terms of occupations. However, an occupation is comprised of interconnected tasks, and it is these tasks, not occupations themselves, that are affected by AI. To evaluate how tasks may be impacted, previous approaches utilized manual annotations or coarse-grained matching. Leveraging recent advancements in machine learning, we replace coarse-grained matching with more precise deep learning approaches. Introducing the AI Impact (AII) measure, we employ Deep Learning Natural Language Processing to automatically identify AI patents that impact various occupational tasks at scale. Our methodology relies on a comprehensive dataset of 19,498 task descriptions and quantifies AI's impact through analysis of 12,984 AI patents filed with the United States Patent and Trademark Office (USPTO) between 2015 and 2020. Our observations reveal that the impact of AI on occupations defies simplistic categorizations based on task complexity, challenging the conventional belief that the dichotomy between basic and advanced skills alone explains the effects of AI. Instead, the impact is intricately linked to specific skills, whether basic or advanced, associated with particular tasks. For instance, while basic skills like scanning items may be affected, others like cooking may not. Similarly, certain advanced skills, such as image analysis in radiology, may face impact, while skills involving interpersonal relationships may remain unaffected. Furthermore, the influence of AI extends beyond knowledge-centric regions. Regions in the U.S. that heavily rely on industries susceptible to AI changes, often characterized by economic inequality or a lack of economic diversification, will experience notable AI impact.