Emergent Mind
Flexible Tails for Normalising Flows, with Application to the Modelling of Financial Return Data
(2311.00580)
Published Nov 1, 2023
in
stat.ML
and
cs.LG
Abstract
We propose a transformation capable of altering the tail properties of a distribution, motivated by extreme value theory, which can be used as a layer in a normalizing flow to approximate multivariate heavy tailed distributions. We apply this approach to model financial returns, capturing potentially extreme shocks that arise in such data. The trained models can be used directly to generate new synthetic sets of potentially extreme returns
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