Emergent Mind

Self-Supervised Pre-Training for Precipitation Post-Processor

(2310.20187)
Published Oct 31, 2023 in cs.LG and cs.AI

Abstract

Obtaining a sufficient forecast lead time for local precipitation is essential in preventing hazardous weather events. Global warming-induced climate change increases the challenge of accurately predicting severe precipitation events, such as heavy rainfall. In this paper, we propose a deep learning-based precipitation post-processor for numerical weather prediction (NWP) models. The precipitation post-processor consists of (i) employing self-supervised pre-training, where the parameters of the encoder are pre-trained on the reconstruction of the masked variables of the atmospheric physics domain; and (ii) conducting transfer learning on precipitation segmentation tasks (the target domain) from the pre-trained encoder. In addition, we introduced a heuristic labeling approach to effectively train class-imbalanced datasets. Our experiments on precipitation correction for regional NWP show that the proposed method outperforms other approaches.

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