Statistically Efficient Variance Reduction with Double Policy Estimation for Off-Policy Evaluation in Sequence-Modeled Reinforcement Learning

Abstract: Offline reinforcement learning aims to utilize datasets of previously gathered environment-action interaction records to learn a policy without access to the real environment. Recent work has shown that offline reinforcement learning can be formulated as a sequence modeling problem and solved via supervised learning with approaches such as decision transformer. While these sequence-based methods achieve competitive results over return-to-go methods, especially on tasks that require longer episodes or with scarce rewards, importance sampling is not considered to correct the policy bias when dealing with off-policy data, mainly due to the absence of behavior policy and the use of deterministic evaluation policies. To this end, we propose DPE: an RL algorithm that blends offline sequence modeling and offline reinforcement learning with Double Policy Estimation (DPE) in a unified framework with statistically proven properties on variance reduction. We validate our method in multiple tasks of OpenAI Gym with D4RL benchmarks. Our method brings a performance improvements on selected methods which outperforms SOTA baselines in several tasks, demonstrating the advantages of enabling double policy estimation for sequence-modeled reinforcement learning.