The ODE Method for Asymptotic Statistics in Stochastic Approximation and Reinforcement Learning (2110.14427v6)

Abstract: The paper concerns the $d$-dimensional stochastic approximation recursion, $$ \theta_{n+1}= \theta_n + \alpha_{n + 1} f(\theta_n, \Phi_{n+1}) $$ where $ { \Phi_n }$ is a stochastic process on a general state space, satisfying a conditional Markov property that allows for parameter-dependent noise. The main results are established under additional conditions on the mean flow and a version of the Donsker-Varadhan Lyapunov drift condition known as (DV3): (i) An appropriate Lyapunov function is constructed that implies convergence of the estimates in $L_4$. (ii) A functional central limit theorem (CLT) is established, as well as the usual one-dimensional CLT for the normalized error. Moment bounds combined with the CLT imply convergence of the normalized covariance $\textsf{E}[ z_n z_n^T ]$ to the asymptotic covariance in the CLT, where $z_n =: (\theta_n-\theta^*)/\sqrt{\alpha_n}$. (iii) The CLT holds for the normalized version $z^{\text{PR}}_n =: \sqrt{n} [\theta^{\text{PR}}_n -\theta^*]$, of the averaged parameters $\theta^{\text{PR}}_n =:n^{-1} \sum_{k=1}^n\theta_k$, subject to standard assumptions on the step-size. Moreover, the covariance in the CLT coincides with the minimal covariance of Polyak and Ruppert. (iv) An example is given where $f$ and $\bar{f}$ are linear in $\theta$, and $\Phi$ is a geometrically ergodic Markov chain but does not satisfy (DV3). While the algorithm is convergent, the second moment of $\theta_n$ is unbounded and in fact diverges. This arXiv version represents a major extension of the results in prior versions.The main results now allow for parameter-dependent noise, as is often the case in applications to reinforcement learning.