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Consistency of Distributionally Robust Risk- and Chance-Constrained Optimization under Wasserstein Ambiguity Sets (2012.08850v1)

Published 16 Dec 2020 in math.OC, cs.SY, and eess.SY

Abstract: We study stochastic optimization problems with chance and risk constraints, where in the latter, risk is quantified in terms of the conditional value-at-risk (CVaR). We consider the distributionally robust versions of these problems, where the constraints are required to hold for a family of distributions constructed from the observed realizations of the uncertainty via the Wasserstein distance. Our main results establish that if the samples are drawn independently from an underlying distribution and the problems satisfy suitable technical assumptions, then the optimal value and optimizers of the distributionally robust versions of these problems converge to the respective quantities of the original problems, as the sample size increases.

Citations (9)

Summary

  • The paper establishes that solutions to DRO models converge to the true distributional solutions as sample sizes increase.
  • It employs Wasserstein ambiguity sets to capture uncertainty in empirical distributions, leading to robust risk and chance constraints.
  • The research rigorously proves conditions under which DRRCPs and DRCCPs yield asymptotically consistent and reliable optimization outcomes.

Overview of the Paper

The paper "Consistency of Distributionally Robust Risk- and Chance-Constrained Optimization under Wasserstein Ambiguity Sets" explores the theoretical foundation for distributionally robust optimization (DRO) using Wasserstein ambiguity sets. It targets stochastic optimization problems constrained by risk and chance measures where ambiguity in distribution stems from sample-based probability distributions. The paper focuses on proving asymptotic consistency, ensuring that as sample sizes increase, the solutions obtained through distributionally robust methods approximate the solutions of the original stochastic problem defined by the true distribution.

Introduction to Stochastic Optimization

Stochastic optimization involves managing uncertainty in optimization problems, often critical in engineering applications. Specifically, chance-constrained programs (CCPs) and risk-constrained programs (RCPs) require constraints to be satisfied probabilistically or measured by coherent risk measures like conditional value-at-risk (CVaR). CVaR offers analytical tractability and convexity advantages over CCPs, which bear non-convex feasibility regions.

The inability to know the true distribution of uncertain parameters, often replaced by sample data, demands robust approaches. Distributionally robust optimization, using Wasserstein ambiguity sets, constructs a family of distributions around empirical samples, offering a pragmatic balance between robustness and computational tractability.

Technical Preliminaries

The paper discusses critical concepts such as CVaR, which refines the probability constraint into quantiles, and Wasserstein distance, which measures the divergence between probability distributions. The construction of ambiguity sets is centered around empirical distributions of sampled data, which can be confined and controlled using Wasserstein metrics, thereby ensuring pronounced out-of-sample performance and tractability.

Distributionally Robust Risk-Constrained Programs (DRRCPs)

To formulate DRRCPs, the paper equates the stochastic optimization problem using CVaR constraints and derives equivalency conditions leveraging min-max optimization principles. Theoretical results demonstrate that the solutions to DRRCPs converge towards the solutions of the original problem with increasing samples, provided specific regularity and boundedness conditions hold. This asymptotic consistency affirms that robust solutions progressively capture stochastic intricacies of the actual problem.

Key Lemmas for Consistency

The paper presents foundational lemmas, proving that uniformly, the random constraints driven by sample data approximate deterministic constraints congruent with the true distribution. This builds upon convergence in measure and establishes conditions under which DRRCPs continuously adapt to approximate true deterministic constraints.

Results and Discussions

The paper formulates significant theoretical results that reinforce DRO's role as a conservative estimator in larger sample regimes. While the optimizers and optimal values of DRRCPs continuously align with their deterministic counterparts, the paper rigorously proves this convergence framework, outlining assumptions necessary for this symbiotic interaction.

Distributionally Robust Chance-Constrained Programs (DRCCPs)

The exploration of DRCCPs follows analogous principles to DRRCPs, albeit tailored for the inherent non-convexity of chance constraints. Consistency analysis extends to practices assuring continuity and regularity of set mappings that define feasible regions under probabilistic satisfaction of constraints. The distributional robustness herein interpolates between empirical certainty and distributional ambiguities, ensuring CCP approximations remain asymptotically reliable.

Conclusion

The paper substantiates the theoretical consistency of distributionally robust optimization with Wasserstein ambiguity sets under risk and chance constraints. This validates DRO's practical viability in leveraging sample-based methods to approximate solutions in stochastic settings with ambiguous distributions. Future research trajectories suggested include quantifying convergence rates and delineating confidence bounds to further empower distributionally robust frameworks. The assured convergence provides robust approximations crucial for practical implementations in data-sensitive domains.

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