Emergent Mind

Multiple Causal Inference with Latent Confounding

(1805.08273)
Published May 21, 2018 in stat.ML and cs.LG

Abstract

Causal inference from observational data requires assumptions. These assumptions range from measuring confounders to identifying instruments. Traditionally, causal inference assumptions have focused on estimation of effects for a single treatment. In this work, we construct techniques for estimation with multiple treatments in the presence of unobserved confounding. We develop two assumptions based on shared confounding between treatments and independence of treatments given the confounder. Together, these assumptions lead to a confounder estimator regularized by mutual information. For this estimator, we develop a tractable lower bound. To recover treatment effects, we use the residual information in the treatments independent of the confounder. We validate on simulations and an example from clinical medicine.

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