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Early stopping and non-parametric regression: An optimal data-dependent stopping rule (1306.3574v1)

Published 15 Jun 2013 in stat.ML

Abstract: The strategy of early stopping is a regularization technique based on choosing a stopping time for an iterative algorithm. Focusing on non-parametric regression in a reproducing kernel Hilbert space, we analyze the early stopping strategy for a form of gradient-descent applied to the least-squares loss function. We propose a data-dependent stopping rule that does not involve hold-out or cross-validation data, and we prove upper bounds on the squared error of the resulting function estimate, measured in either the $L2(P)$ and $L2(P_n)$ norm. These upper bounds lead to minimax-optimal rates for various kernel classes, including Sobolev smoothness classes and other forms of reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces. We show through simulation that our stopping rule compares favorably to two other stopping rules, one based on hold-out data and the other based on Stein's unbiased risk estimate. We also establish a tight connection between our early stopping strategy and the solution path of a kernel ridge regression estimator.

Citations (277)

Summary

  • The paper introduces a data-dependent early stopping rule that halts gradient descent based on cumulative step sizes and empirical eigenvalue thresholds.
  • It demonstrates minimax-optimal L2 error rates for kernel classes such as Sobolev spaces through rigorous theoretical bounds.
  • Simulation studies confirm that the method outperforms traditional hold-out and SURE approaches while linking to kernel ridge regression.

Optimal Data-Dependent Stopping Rule for Early Stopping in Non-Parametric Regression

The paper by Raskutti, Wainwright, and Yu discusses an innovative approach to the regularization technique of early stopping in non-parametric regression, particularly using gradient descent. The authors present a data-dependent stopping rule that does not rely on hold-out or cross-validation data, which distinguishes it from traditional methods of early stopping. They provide theoretical guarantees for achieving minimax-optimal rates across a variety of kernel classes, particularly Sobolev spaces, through comprehensive analysis and innovative theoretical bounding techniques.

Overview of Early Stopping as Regularization

Early stopping is a longstanding strategy in iterative algorithms, functioning as a form of regularization, particularly suitable in scenarios dealing with noise-prone and high-dimensional data. In non-parametric regression, overfitting is mitigated by halting the optimization process prior to convergence, thereby preventing the model from fitting the noise in the training dataset. This computationally efficient form of regularization stands in contrast to traditional penalized forms like Tikhonov regularization.

Despite its intuitive appeal, rigorous theoretical backing for early stopping has been limited. Prior work often required oracle-like knowledge of the true data distribution to achieve optimal stopping, thereby hindering practical applicability. This research addresses this by formulating a stopping rule grounded directly in the observed data properties, making it both practically feasible and theoretically sound.

Main Contributions

The authors' stopping rule is defined in the context of gradient descent applied to least-squares loss within a reproducing kernel Hilbert space (RKHS) framework. The rule utilizes the first instance where a running sum of step sizes exceeds a critical bias-variance tradeoff threshold. This threshold is determined by the empirical eigenvalues of the kernel matrix, which are computed from the data.

  1. Theoretical Upper Bounds: The paper provides rigorous upper bounds on the squared prediction error in the L2 norms, which apply both to fixed design and random covariate sampling cases. These bounds lead to minimax-optimal rates for kernel classes such as Sobolev spaces and low-rank kernels.
  2. Simulation Studies: Through simulations, the authors demonstrate that their stopping rule yields performance superior to alternatives based on hold-out data and Stein’s Unbiased Risk Estimate (SURE), especially as sample size increases.
  3. Link to Kernel Ridge Regression: They establish a connection between their early stopping rule and kernel ridge regression, showing similar performance characteristics and error bounds, thereby bridging theoretical insights across two different regularization approaches.

Implications and Outlook

The primary implication of this research is the provision of a theoretically principled yet computationally efficient stopping criterion for early stopping in non-parametric settings. Practically, this enables practitioners to apply early stopping in a data-driven manner, improving model performance without additional computational overhead associated with traditional methods like cross-validation.

The theoretical results align closely with minimax optimal rates for function estimation over RKHS, suggesting broad applicability across various kernel-based methods in machine learning. Furthermore, the paper opens avenues for exploring the robustness of this stopping rule to model misspecification and adapting it using approximate eigenvalue computations, which can further enhance its utility in large-scale data scenarios.

Conclusion

Raskutti, Wainwright, and Yu's work robustly advances the understanding of early stopping in the domain of kernel-based non-parametric regression. By introducing a data-dependent stopping rule with sound theoretical backing, the authors contribute significantly to both the theory and practice of machine learning, highlighting pathways for future research in scalable and effective regularization techniques.